Armed police set up checkpoints and food and fuel are stockpiled in anticipation of protestsIn September, more than 60 died when security forces opened fire on an opposition march calling for Kabila to step down. At least four policemen were lynched.
In September, more than 60 died when security forces opened fire on an opposition march calling for Kabila to step down. At least four policemen were lynched.
Though opposition leaders said they would not call for mass demonstrations on Monday, most observers believe some protests are likely, and could result in violence.
“Wait and see,” Felix Tshisekedi, a leader of the UDPS party, told the Guardian.
Last-minute talks brokered by the Catholic church between government representatives and a coalition of opposition groups failed to reach agreement on Saturday, but are scheduled to start again next week after bishops visited Rome to consult Pope Francis.
Last month the pope urged political actors in the DRC to “build bridges, not walls”.
Tshisekedi said the government was not serious about negotiations.
“They were not serious people … so the talks were not serious. We do not trust them and they do not trust us. From the 19 [December] we are in a political no man’s land, a zone of turbulence,” Tshisekedi said.
Government officials blame the opposition for the lack of progress in reaching a settlement.
A key question now is the degree to which opposition parties can channel widespread popular discontent – or are seen as part of the problem rather than a potential solution by ordinary people.High inflation, the devaluation of local currency and flagging investment is causing deep economic hardship throughout the country, where two-thirds of the estimated 70 million population live on less than £1.50 every day.
“It is very difficult to live. Every week is harder. No one has money. No one has jobs,” said Annie, 45, who runs a street stall selling fried chicken and rice in the Matongi neighbourhood.
Youth unemployment is extremely high, and football matches, which attracted large crowds of young men, have in effect been banned.
“We do nothing all day. Not because we are lazy, but because there is nothing for us to do. It has to change. Kabila has to go. We are prepared to die to see him go, and there are many of us. That is our strength,” said Thierry, 28, as he watched other young men play dice.
Few interviewees were prepared to give the Guardian their full names, for fear of government reprisals.
The government, which has been accused of human rights abuses by campaign organisations, has moved to quell any disturbances.
Human Rights Watch has accused security forces and pro-Kabila youth groups of taking part in looting and paying thugs to attack opposition demonstrations, leading to violence that would justify a police crackdown.
Last week authorities ordered the blocking of social networking websites, including Facebook and Twitter, from late on Sunday night. There have also been unconfirmed reports of arrests of activists.
A group of 80 women’s organisations in the DRC has also called for Kabila to step down to allow a peaceful transfer of power.
Close associates of the president said Kabila had no intention of remaining in office indefinitely and wanted to leave a “legacy of democracy” to his “fellow countrymen”. In 2006, Kabila oversaw the first free vote in decades, ushering in a period of relative stability and economic growth as mining firms invested billions of dollars.
But many observers now fear a return to the brutal civil wars which killed an estimated 5 million people in the DRC between 1997, when the dictator Mobutu Sese Seko was ousted after a 32-year rule, and 2003.
In a rare speech last month, Kabila accused politicians and foreigners of manipulating youths. “It is morally reprehensible to try to come to power by spilling Congolese blood,” he said.
Analysts and diplomats said the backing of neighbours such as Angola for Kabila was crucial.
Mende, the information minister, said that the president was deeply grateful for the support of regional powers.